TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063284
Played Sep 3Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111412119117––
Milan Klement
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 68.6% is still 68.6%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
68.6%
68.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 80 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 68.6%
80 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 2–1 Milan Klement Milan Klement has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1765 vs Klement 1569
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 80% vs Klement 40%
Wagner
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 80% vs Klement 40%
Wagner
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +3 · Klement -1
Wagner
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.73 / Klement 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Wagner)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063284
Wagner1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 47 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Klement2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 69 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWagner2wins
AwayKlement1wins
Wagner leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner1Klement2n = 3Klement took 2 of 3
S2Wagner2Klement1n = 3Wagner took 2 of 3
S3Wagner3Klement0n = 3Wagner took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWagnerKlementW − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.737.0−1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 139 vs 449 / 87356.8%51.4%79 / 139 vs 449 / 873Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.73/Klement 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner—51411113M. Klement—1112971
WAug 23 · 16:00M. Wagner—1113113M. Klement—81190
LAug 21 · 16:30M. Wagner—1041251M. Klement—121110113
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141WSep 3 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.20101161192M. Klement1.61127119113
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