TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065494
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Simecek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1182119111191012
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Simecek above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 54.3%
94 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Simecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1669 vs Wagner 1759
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 80% vs Wagner 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 60% vs Wagner 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek +3 · Wagner +1
Simecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Simecek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.73 / Wagner 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Simecek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065494
Simecek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 32 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Wagner2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 31 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back32% 8 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 211 vs 80 / 14150.2%56.7%106 / 211 vs 80 / 141Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekSimecek 1.73/Wagner 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wagner won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Simecek10
WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091WSep 3 · 14:30S. Kasnik2.258970J. Simecek1.571111113LAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 01:30J. Simecek2.20412912132J. Ruzicka1.6111101110153
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 01:00M. Sychra2.00711661M. Wagner1.7311811113
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