TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065542
Played Sep 3Finished
Adam Brazda
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911511117117311
Jan Simecek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Brazda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdam Brazda above · Jan Simecek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 86 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Adam Brazda at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Simecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Brazda 1730 vs Simecek 1626
Brazda
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brazda 80% vs Simecek 40%
Brazda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brazda 70% vs Simecek 40%
Brazda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brazda +2 · Simecek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Simecek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrazda 2.10 / Simecek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Simecek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13065542
Brazda2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 27 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back28% 9 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Simecek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 32 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrazdaSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 397 vs 102 / 20647.1%49.5%187 / 397 vs 102 / 206Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekBrazda 2.10/Simecek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Simecek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Brazda10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 15:00A. Brazda1.61515811113S. Kasnik2.20111311792WSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113LSep 1 · 17:30A. Brazda1.40118771S. Kasnik2.7591111113WSep 1 · 16:00S. Kasnik2.001111761A. Brazda1.7313711113WSep 1 · 15:00J. Louda1.40561281A. Brazda2.75111110113
J. Simecek10
WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091WSep 3 · 14:30S. Kasnik2.258970J. Simecek1.571111113LAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 01:30J. Simecek2.20412912132J. Ruzicka1.6111101110153
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