TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065447
Played Sep 3Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911711––––
Jan Simecek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeJan Simecek to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Jan Simecek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jan Simecek at 56.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 0–1 Jan Simecek Sebastian Kasnik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:48What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Simecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kasnik 1676 vs Simecek 1593
Kasnik
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasnik 20% vs Simecek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasnik 40% vs Simecek 20%
Kasnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasnik +1 · Simecek -4
Simecek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Simecek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.25 / Simecek 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Simecek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065447
Kasnik2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 122 of 300
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 90
Simecek1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 32 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKasnik0wins
AwaySimecek1wins
Simecek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKasnikSimecekK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.033.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime473 / 989 vs 100 / 20447.8%49%473 / 989 vs 100 / 204Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekKasnik 2.25/Simecek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMar 9 · 08:00S. Kasnik—9880J. Simecek—1111113
S. Kasnik10
LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123LSep 4 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.25117981R. Wagner1.5781111113LSep 4 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.75111051322P. Saleny1.405121111113
J. Simecek10
WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 01:30J. Simecek2.20412912132J. Ruzicka1.6111101110153
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.