TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13075318
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Simecek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118118––––
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Simecek above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8
57 points played in total.
H2H Jan Simecek 0–1 Mark Robin Wagner Jan Simecek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Simecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.80 / Wagner 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Simecek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13075318
Simecek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 32 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Wagner1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 31 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back32% 8 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSimecek0wins
AwayWagner1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderWagner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSimecekWagnerS − WBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.051.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 212 vs 81 / 14250%57%106 / 212 vs 81 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekSimecek 1.80/Wagner 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek—112911102M. Wagner—811119123
J. Simecek10
LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091WSep 3 · 14:30S. Kasnik2.258970J. Simecek1.571111113LAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 01:30J. Simecek2.20412912132J. Ruzicka1.6111101110153
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:00M. Sychra2.00711661M. Wagner1.7311811113
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