TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065489
Played Sep 3Finished
Adam Brazda
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111513811117119
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:58 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Brazda to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Brazda above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 101 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Adam Brazda at 58.9%
101 points played in total.
H2H Adam Brazda 16–8 Sebastian Kasnik Sebastian Kasnik has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Brazda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-8 in 24
Brazda
Correct
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brazda 1722 vs Kasnik 1650
Brazda
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brazda 80% vs Kasnik 20%
Brazda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brazda 70% vs Kasnik 30%
Brazda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brazda +1 · Kasnik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Brazda) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrazda 1.61 / Kasnik 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Brazda)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065489
Brazda1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 42 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it68% 28 of 41
Kasnik2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 122 of 300
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrazda8wins
AwayKasnik2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrazda leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrazda80%4 of 5
AwayKasnik20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brazda5Kasnik5n = 10split evenly
S2Brazda5Kasnik5n = 10split evenly
S3Brazda7Kasnik3n = 10Brazda took 7 of 10
S4Brazda7Kasnik2n = 9Brazda took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrazdaKasnikB − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.037.5+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrazdaKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 397 vs 473 / 99147.1%47.7%187 / 397 vs 473 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrazdaBrazda 1.61/Kasnik 2.20
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Brazda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 15:00A. Brazda—515811113S. Kasnik—111311792
LSep 1 · 17:30A. Brazda—118771S. Kasnik—91111113
WSep 1 · 16:00A. Brazda—13711113S. Kasnik—1111761
WAug 12 · 21:30A. Brazda—1011611113S. Kasnik—12711992
WAug 12 · 18:30A. Brazda—71111113S. Kasnik—119431
WMay 21 · 17:00A. Brazda—121111113S. Kasnik—142661
WMay 21 · 15:30A. Brazda—1111113S. Kasnik—9880
LMar 9 · 16:00A. Brazda—6311121S. Kasnik—11118143
WFeb 17 · 19:30A. Brazda—11813113S. Kasnik—8111191
WJan 4 · 08:30A. Brazda—11813113S. Kasnik—6111181
A. Brazda10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113LSep 1 · 17:30A. Brazda1.40118771S. Kasnik2.7591111113WSep 1 · 16:00S. Kasnik2.001111761A. Brazda1.7313711113WSep 1 · 15:00J. Louda1.40561281A. Brazda2.75111110113
S. Kasnik10
LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123WSep 1 · 17:30A. Brazda1.40118771S. Kasnik2.7591111113LSep 1 · 16:00S. Kasnik2.001111761A. Brazda1.7313711113
Upcoming Matches
A. Brazda
Nothing scheduled
S. Kasnik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.