TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078053
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111181012––
Jakub Tazler
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:28 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Martin Sychra at 55.8%
80 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 36–31 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 31 of their 67 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sychra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-31 in 67
Sychra
Wrong
gap of 5 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1642 vs Tazler 1656
Tazler
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 40% vs Tazler 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 40% vs Tazler 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -2 · Tazler -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sychra) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.67 / Tazler 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sychra)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13078053
Sychra1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 251 of 420
Up 2–0, closes it93% 113 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it80% 175 of 218
Tazler2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 92 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back28% 30 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back16% 10 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra5wins
AwayTazler5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra83.3%5 of 6
AwayTazler100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra6Tazler4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S2Sychra4Tazler6n = 10Tazler took 6 of 10
S3Sychra4Tazler6n = 10Tazler took 6 of 10
S4Sychra3Tazler4n = 7Tazler took 4 of 7
S5Sychra3Tazler2n = 5Sychra took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraTazlerS − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.539.8−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1512 vs 384 / 70353.1%54.6%803 / 1512 vs 384 / 703Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.67/Tazler 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 11:30M. Sychra—35100J. Tazler—1111123
WAug 31 · 07:30M. Sychra—1110114113J. Tazler—61281172
LAug 21 · 03:08M. Sychra—5660J. Tazler—1111113
WAug 20 · 22:30M. Sychra—11117113J. Tazler—391161
LAug 20 · 02:00M. Sychra—1011891J. Tazler—12911113
LAug 17 · 01:30M. Sychra—95111182J. Tazler—111194113
LAug 16 · 20:58M. Sychra—111272122J. Tazler—8101111143
WAug 16 · 20:00M. Sychra—1141111113J. Tazler—61181392
WAug 13 · 13:00M. Sychra—117611113J. Tazler—41111892
WAug 13 · 11:30M. Sychra—1111113J. Tazler—7990
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192WSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791
J. Tazler10
LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142LSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870WSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100
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