TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078096
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117911311––
Michal Regner
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:37 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 68 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 39–42 Michal Regner Martin Sychra has won 39 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sychra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-42 in 81
Regner
Correct
gap of 3 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1646 vs Regner 1619
Sychra
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 40% vs Regner 0%
Sychra
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 40% vs Regner 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +1 · Regner -5
Regner
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.73 / Regner 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sychra)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13078096
Sychra1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 251 of 420
Up 2–0, closes it93% 113 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it80% 175 of 218
Regner2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 113 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra6wins
AwayRegner4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra75%3 of 4
AwayRegner50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S2Sychra6Regner4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S3Sychra6Regner4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S4Sychra6Regner3n = 9Sychra took 6 of 9
S5Sychra2Regner2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraRegnerS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.941.2−0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime804 / 1513 vs 512 / 106553.1%48.1%804 / 1513 vs 512 / 1065Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.73/Regner 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 09:29M. Sychra—11911113M. Regner—911981
LAug 28 · 07:00M. Sychra—117131152M. Regner—9111113113
WAug 26 · 11:30M. Sychra—81111113M. Regner—116651
LAug 25 · 01:30M. Sychra—81111101M. Regner—11813123
WAug 15 · 23:30M. Sychra—4121111113M. Regner—111013942
WAug 9 · 02:00M. Sychra—811213113M. Regner—119111162
LAug 8 · 07:00M. Sychra—107111132M. Regner—121189113
WAug 7 · 09:28M. Sychra—1111113M. Regner—7790
LAug 7 · 08:30M. Sychra—1011581M. Regner—12911113
WAug 5 · 22:30M. Sychra—11311113M. Regner—911791
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192WSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791
M. Regner10
WSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113LSep 6 · 01:00J. Tazler2.5011811113M. Regner1.50511551LSep 5 · 23:30M. Regner2.25118511102K. Schopf1.57511117123LSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161LSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Regner1.73117913113D. Hofman2.00911111162WSep 4 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.204980M. Regner1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141WSep 3 · 08:30J. Tazler2.002570M. Regner1.731111113
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