TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070438
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911811––––
Michal Regner
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Michal Regner at 54.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 0–1 Michal Regner Jakub Stolfa has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1610 vs Regner 1657
Regner
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 40% vs Regner 60%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 60% vs Regner 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa -2 · Regner +3
Regner
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 2.20 / Regner 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Regner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070438
Stolfa2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog56% won 60 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back39% 25 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Regner1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 113 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it93% 57 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it71% 84 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStolfa0wins
AwayRegner1wins
Regner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricStolfaRegnerS − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 345 vs 514 / 106551.6%48.3%178 / 345 vs 514 / 1065Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerStolfa 2.20/Regner 1.61
Hit
What we said
57.7%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 4 · 06:00J. Stolfa—4980M. Regner—1111113
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113LSep 4 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.25131091192D. Hofman1.571112117113
M. Regner10
WSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113LSep 6 · 01:00J. Tazler2.5011811113M. Regner1.50511551LSep 5 · 23:30M. Regner2.25118511102K. Schopf1.57511117123LSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161LSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Regner1.73117913113D. Hofman2.00911111162WSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141WSep 3 · 08:30J. Tazler2.002570M. Regner1.731111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.