TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081779
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111210911119511
Martin Sobisek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 94 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 62.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 12–4 Martin Sobisek Martin Sobisek has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stolfa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Stolfa
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1600 vs Sobisek 1540
Stolfa
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 40% vs Sobisek 60%
Sobisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 30% vs Sobisek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa +1 · Sobisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Stolfa) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.57 / Sobisek 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Stolfa)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081779
Stolfa1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 80 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Sobisek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 138 of 359
Down 0–1, comes back25% 51 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa7wins
AwaySobisek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStolfa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa80%4 of 5
AwaySobisek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa5Sobisek5n = 10split evenly
S2Stolfa7Sobisek3n = 10Stolfa took 7 of 10
S3Stolfa6Sobisek4n = 10Stolfa took 6 of 10
S4Stolfa7Sobisek2n = 9Stolfa took 7 of 9
S5Stolfa1Sobisek2n = 3Sobisek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaSobisekStolfa − SobisekBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.538.0+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 341 vs 545 / 117151.6%46.5%176 / 341 vs 545 / 1171Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.57/Sobisek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa—51291152M. Sobisek—1110119113
WSep 3 · 14:30J. Stolfa—101111113M. Sobisek—120651
WSep 3 · 12:30J. Stolfa—1111113M. Sobisek—9680
WAug 25 · 20:00J. Stolfa—15117133M. Sobisek—13911111
WAug 21 · 14:30J. Stolfa—11311113M. Sobisek—911491
LAug 21 · 10:00J. Stolfa—651141M. Sobisek—11118113
WAug 19 · 13:30J. Stolfa—71111113M. Sobisek—116581
WAug 19 · 11:00J. Stolfa—1112711113M. Sobisek—81411972
LAug 19 · 06:30J. Stolfa—111110652M. Sobisek—651211113
WAug 17 · 12:30J. Stolfa—81311123M. Sobisek—11118101
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113LSep 4 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.25131091192D. Hofman1.571112117113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153
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