TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082809
Played Sep 6Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811115811––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 20–32 Martin Sobisek Vladimir Cermak has won 20 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-32 in 52
Sobisek
Correct
gap of 12 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1548 vs Sobisek 1570
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 40% vs Sobisek 60%
Sobisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 30% vs Sobisek 50%
Sobisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak +1 · Sobisek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 2.10 / Sobisek 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Sobisek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082809
Cermak2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 86 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 63
Sobisek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 106 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it98% 58 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak2wins
AwaySobisek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySobisek88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak1Sobisek9n = 10Sobisek took 9 of 10
S2Cermak4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S3Cermak6Sobisek4n = 10Cermak took 6 of 10
S4Cermak3Sobisek5n = 8Sobisek took 5 of 8
S5Cermak1Sobisek2n = 3Sobisek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakSobisekC − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.041.8−4.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime541 / 1056 vs 547 / 117351.2%46.6%541 / 1056 vs 547 / 1173Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekCermak 2.10/Sobisek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak—981181M. Sobisek—11115113
LSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak—5450M. Sobisek—1111113
LAug 26 · 22:30V. Cermak—51131152M. Sobisek—118116113
LAug 26 · 21:29V. Cermak—871191M. Sobisek—11115113
LAug 26 · 19:00V. Cermak—131213121M. Sobisek—151015143
LAug 25 · 21:05V. Cermak—10119101M. Sobisek—12911123
LAug 25 · 18:30V. Cermak—1121161M. Sobisek—13118113
WAug 25 · 17:30V. Cermak—6111111113M. Sobisek—11139972
WAug 25 · 15:30V. Cermak—1112113M. Sobisek—71080
LAug 24 · 01:30V. Cermak—78111192M. Sobisek—111186113
V. Cermak10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113WSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113LSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LAug 28 · 13:00V. Vejvoda2.38671113113V. Cermak1.53111181192LAug 28 · 12:30J. Hradecky1.5011611133V. Cermak2.507118111
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.