TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082832
Played Sep 6Finished
Matej Volf
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811611––––
Vladimir Cermak
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMatej Volf to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Matej Volf at 59.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 22–11 Vladimir Cermak Vladimir Cermak has won 11 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Volf
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-11 in 33
Volf
Wrong
gap of 11 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volf 1558 vs Cermak 1548
Volf
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volf 60% vs Cermak 40%
Volf
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volf 70% vs Cermak 30%
Volf
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volf -1 · Cermak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Volf)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 1.61 / Cermak 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Volf)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082832
Volf1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 37 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Cermak2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 86 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolf6wins
AwayCermak4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVolf leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolf80%4 of 5
AwayCermak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volf5Cermak5n = 10split evenly
S2Volf6Cermak4n = 10Volf took 6 of 10
S3Volf5Cermak5n = 10split evenly
S4Volf7Cermak2n = 9Volf took 7 of 9
S5Volf2Cermak3n = 5Cermak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolfCermakV − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.340.0+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 399 vs 541 / 105651.6%51.2%206 / 399 vs 541 / 1056Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolfVolf 1.61/Cermak 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Volf · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 13:30M. Volf—5111111113V. Cermak—11813752
WJul 23 · 11:30M. Volf—11511113V. Cermak—711871
LJul 23 · 06:30M. Volf—12851132V. Cermak—1011118113
LJul 20 · 24:00M. Volf—611681V. Cermak—11511113
WJul 8 · 18:30M. Volf—11118113V. Cermak—371191
LJun 12 · 10:30M. Volf—5101112112V. Cermak—1112710133
WJun 12 · 07:00M. Volf—14121110113V. Cermak—161091262
WJun 8 · 02:00M. Volf—11118113V. Cermak—591191
LJun 7 · 18:00M. Volf—810111142V. Cermak—111295113
WApr 26 · 03:29M. Volf—1111113V. Cermak—8440
M. Volf10
LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192LSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102LAug 11 · 01:30M. Sobisek1.501111113M. Volf2.506920WAug 11 · 24:00M. Volf1.6791311113A. Hlawatschke2.101111541WAug 10 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.9134120M. Volf1.801111143
V. Cermak10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113LSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LAug 28 · 13:00V. Vejvoda2.38671113113V. Cermak1.53111181192LAug 28 · 12:30J. Hradecky1.5011611133V. Cermak2.507118111
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