TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12391133
Played Aug 10Finished
Petr Zmuda
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3114111214––––
Matej Volf
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Volf to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Matej Volf below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 55 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Matej Volf at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zmuda 0–2 Matej Volf Petr Zmuda has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volf
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zmuda 1582 vs Volf 1521
Zmuda
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmuda 40% vs Volf 80%
Volf
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmuda 50% vs Volf 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmuda +1 · Volf +4
Volf
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zmuda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volf form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 1.91 / Volf 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zmuda)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12391133
Zmuda1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 15 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Volf1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 39 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZmuda0wins
AwayVolf2wins
Volf leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricZmudaVolfZ − VBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.036.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaVolfBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 297 vs 207 / 40056.6%51.8%168 / 297 vs 207 / 400Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaZmuda 1.91/Volf 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 31 · 07:30P. Zmuda—7860M. Volf—1111113
LAug 10 · 15:30P. Zmuda—861141M. Volf—11116113
P. Zmuda10
LAug 23 · 20:59M. Chlebecek1.9111119113P. Zmuda1.80941151LAug 23 · 20:00P. Zmuda1.91911781M. Chlebecek1.8011411113LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.001111113P. Zmuda1.738360LAug 23 · 18:00P. Zmuda2.209860T. Janata1.611111113WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tuma2.2051190P. Zmuda1.611113113LAug 22 · 08:00P. Zmuda1.6767111162J. Stolfa2.10111178113LAug 22 · 07:30D. Tuma1.9111116123P. Zmuda1.806511101LAug 22 · 06:00P. Zmuda1.80118771R. Pavelka1.9151111113LAug 12 · 17:28T. Janata1.8011129113P. Zmuda1.904101191WAug 12 · 16:00T. Janata1.8011911772P. Zmuda1.91911811113
M. Volf10
LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192LSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102LAug 11 · 01:30M. Sobisek1.501111113M. Volf2.506920WAug 11 · 24:00M. Volf1.6791311113A. Hlawatschke2.101111541
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.