TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12476269
Played Aug 23Finished
Petr Zmuda
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911114711811––
Marek Chlebecek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:11 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timePetr Zmuda to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Marek Chlebecek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Petr Zmuda at 55.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zmuda 0–1 Marek Chlebecek Petr Zmuda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:11What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Chlebecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zmuda 1536 vs Chlebecek 1524
Zmuda
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmuda 20% vs Chlebecek 60%
Chlebecek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmuda 30% vs Chlebecek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmuda -2 · Chlebecek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlebecek) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmuda form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 1.91 / Chlebecek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chlebecek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12476269
Zmuda1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 18 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Chlebecek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 33 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZmuda0wins
AwayChlebecek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderChlebecek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZmudaChlebecekZ − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.054.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 308 vs 102 / 21755.8%47%172 / 308 vs 102 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekZmuda 1.91/Chlebecek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chlebecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chlebecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 8 · 01:00P. Zmuda—1310101142M. Chlebecek—1112128113
P. Zmuda10
LAug 23 · 20:59M. Chlebecek1.9111119113P. Zmuda1.80941151LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.001111113P. Zmuda1.738360LAug 23 · 18:00P. Zmuda2.209860T. Janata1.611111113WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tuma2.2051190P. Zmuda1.611113113LAug 22 · 08:00P. Zmuda1.6767111162J. Stolfa2.10111178113LAug 22 · 07:30D. Tuma1.9111116123P. Zmuda1.806511101LAug 22 · 06:00P. Zmuda1.80118771R. Pavelka1.9151111113LAug 12 · 17:28T. Janata1.8011129113P. Zmuda1.904101191WAug 12 · 16:00T. Janata1.8011911772P. Zmuda1.91911811113WAug 12 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.1071171242P. Zmuda1.671181110113
M. Chlebecek10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123LSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113WAug 23 · 20:59M. Chlebecek1.9111119113P. Zmuda1.80941151
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