TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481888
Played Aug 23Finished
Marek Chlebecek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119114911115––
Petr Zmuda
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMarek Chlebecek above · Petr Zmuda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5
71 points played in total.
H2H Marek Chlebecek 2–0 Petr Zmuda Petr Zmuda has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zmuda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmuda form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlebecek 1.91 / Zmuda 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zmuda)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481888
Chlebecek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back26% 9 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Zmuda1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 54 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChlebecek2wins
AwayZmuda0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderChlebecek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChlebecekZmudaC − ZBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match45.541.5+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlebecekZmudaBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 218 vs 172 / 30947.3%55.7%103 / 218 vs 172 / 309Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaChlebecek 1.91/Zmuda 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chlebecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 23 · 20:00M. Chlebecek—11411113P. Zmuda—911781
WAug 8 · 01:00M. Chlebecek—1112128113P. Zmuda—1310101142
M. Chlebecek10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123LSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113WSep 2 · 03:30M. Regner1.91911681M. Chlebecek1.8011511113
P. Zmuda10
LAug 23 · 20:00P. Zmuda1.91911781M. Chlebecek1.8011411113LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.001111113P. Zmuda1.738360LAug 23 · 18:00P. Zmuda2.209860T. Janata1.611111113WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tuma2.2051190P. Zmuda1.611113113LAug 22 · 08:00P. Zmuda1.6767111162J. Stolfa2.10111178113LAug 22 · 07:30D. Tuma1.9111116123P. Zmuda1.806511101LAug 22 · 06:00P. Zmuda1.80118771R. Pavelka1.9151111113LAug 12 · 17:28T. Janata1.8011129113P. Zmuda1.904101191WAug 12 · 16:00T. Janata1.8011911772P. Zmuda1.91911811113WAug 12 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.1071171242P. Zmuda1.671181110113
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