Martin Sobisek vs Marek Chlebecek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13089434

Played Sep 6Finished

Martin Sobisek

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1210119911611117

Marek Chlebecek

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Marek Chlebecek below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 6-11

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 97 set 5, 11-7

97 points played in total.

H2H Martin Sobisek 9–11 Marek Chlebecek Martin Sobisek has won 9 of their 20 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3SplitHead to head

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chlebecek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sobisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSobisek 2.10 / Chlebecek 1.67

Signal prob.43% / 57%

Edge (Chlebecek)+1.2pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13089434

Sobisek2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog38% won 138 of 359

Down 0–1, comes back25% 51 of 206

Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 123

Chlebecek1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite54% won 34 of 63

Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20

Up 1–0, closes it71% 27 of 38

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSobisek7wins

AwayChlebecek3wins

7 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSobisek75%3 of 4

AwayChlebecek33.3%2 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sobisek4Chlebecek6n = 10Chlebecek took 6 of 10

S2Sobisek5Chlebecek5n = 10split evenly

S3Sobisek8Chlebecek2n = 10Sobisek took 8 of 10

S4Sobisek4Chlebecek4n = 8split evenly

S5Sobisek5Chlebecek2n = 7Sobisek took 5 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home550%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSobisekChlebecekS − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.443.2+1.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSobisekChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime545 / 1171 vs 109 / 22846.5%47.8%545 / 1171 vs 109 / 228Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Chlebecek

Sobisek 2.10/Chlebecek 1.67

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57%

Chlebecek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Sobisek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 1 · 22:30M. Sobisek—12614732M. Chlebecek—10111211113

WAug 30 · 22:30M. Sobisek—1111153M. Chlebecek—38130

LAug 24 · 24:00M. Sobisek—381141M. Chlebecek—11115113

WAug 23 · 18:30M. Sobisek—8161110133M. Chlebecek—1114912112

LAug 8 · 03:30M. Sobisek—91171182M. Chlebecek—119114113

WAug 8 · 24:00M. Sobisek—671312113M. Chlebecek—1111111092

WJul 24 · 24:00M. Sobisek—118118123M. Chlebecek—711811102

WJul 19 · 23:30M. Sobisek—1111113M. Chlebecek—6780

WJun 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek—1111811133M. Chlebecek—137117112

WJun 8 · 01:30M. Sobisek—971111113M. Chlebecek—11114982

M. Sobisek10

LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480 WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051 LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113 LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890 WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113 WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113 LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123 WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113 LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271 WSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153

M. Chlebecek10

WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101 WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681 WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113 WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890 LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670 WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272 WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123 LSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113 WSep 2 · 03:30M. Regner1.91911681M. Chlebecek1.8011511113 LSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113

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