TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083207
Played Sep 7Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12107111210115––
Richard Krejci
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:19 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 78 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 59.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 2–0 Richard Krejci Richard Krejci has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:19What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1543 vs Krejci 1615
Krejci
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 60% vs Krejci 80%
Krejci
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 60% vs Krejci 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek -2 · Krejci -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.44 / Krejci 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Krejci)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083207
Sobisek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 106 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it98% 58 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 98
Krejci2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSobisek2wins
AwayKrejci0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSobisek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSobisekKrejciS − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.529.5+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime547 / 1175 vs 183 / 34646.6%52.9%547 / 1175 vs 183 / 346Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.44/Krejci 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 10 · 22:30M. Sobisek—1111113R. Krejci—8550
WAug 28 · 01:30M. Sobisek—981111113R. Krejci—11118832
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350
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