TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13090238
Played Sep 7Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114118––––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8
54 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 0–4 Martin Sobisek Richard Krejci has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Sobisek beat Krejci 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Sobisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 2.63 / Sobisek 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Sobisek)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13090238
Krejci2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Sobisek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 106 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it98% 58 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKrejci0wins
AwaySobisek4wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSobisek leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejcin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySobisek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci1Sobisek3n = 4Sobisek took 3 of 4
S2Krejci3Sobisek1n = 4Krejci took 3 of 4
S3Krejci0Sobisek4n = 4Sobisek took 4 of 4
S4Krejci1Sobisek2n = 3Sobisek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKrejciSobisekK − SBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.842.8−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 347 vs 548 / 117652.7%46.6%183 / 347 vs 548 / 1176Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekKrejci 2.63/Sobisek 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.3%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 7 · 02:00R. Krejci—10111051M. Sobisek—12712113
LJul 20 · 24:30R. Krejci—81151152M. Sobisek—114119113
LSep 10 · 22:30R. Krejci—8550M. Sobisek—1111113
LAug 28 · 01:30R. Krejci—11118832M. Sobisek—981111113
R. Krejci10
LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350
M. Sobisek10
WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153
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