TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071893
Played Sep 5Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210113115––––
Patrik Pycha
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 64.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 4–12 Patrik Pycha Richard Krejci has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pycha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Pycha
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1639 vs Pycha 1598
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 60% vs Pycha 40%
Krejci
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 70% vs Pycha 40%
Krejci
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci +1 · Pycha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pycha) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 2.50 / Pycha 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Pycha)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13071893
Krejci2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 17 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Pycha1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it78% 56 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrejci4wins
AwayPycha6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci100%4 of 4
AwayPycha100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S2Krejci3Pycha7n = 10Pycha took 7 of 10
S3Krejci7Pycha3n = 10Krejci took 7 of 10
S4Krejci2Pycha3n = 5Pycha took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrejciPychaK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.532.8−2.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 343 vs 491 / 93652.8%52.5%181 / 343 vs 491 / 936Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PychaKrejci 2.50/Pycha 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci—1211113P. Pycha—10350
WJun 2 · 24:30R. Krejci—1111113P. Pycha—6840
LApr 25 · 03:29R. Krejci—9780P. Pycha—1111113
WApr 25 · 01:00R. Krejci—14811113P. Pycha—1211651
LApr 5 · 01:00R. Krejci—951151P. Pycha—11117113
LMar 28 · 04:29R. Krejci—61111442P. Pycha—116711113
LMar 28 · 01:00R. Krejci—831171P. Pycha—11114113
LDec 24 · 16:30R. Krejci—12550P. Pycha—1411113
LNov 24 · 03:30R. Krejci—6440P. Pycha—1111113
WNov 13 · 01:30R. Krejci—11611113P. Pycha—711691
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491
P. Pycha10
LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133LAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111WAug 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.9531111113D. Tuma1.75117881
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