Daniel Tuma vs Patrik Pycha 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13029378

Played Aug 28Finished

Daniel Tuma

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

9111181161311––

Patrik Pycha

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Daniel Tuma to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Patrik Pycha below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 13-11

Point 80 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%

80 points played in total.

H2H Daniel Tuma 41–46 Patrik Pycha Daniel Tuma has won 41 of their 87 meetings.

Last 10 · 1–9Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 09:18

What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Pycha

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

41-46 in 87

Pycha

Wrong

gap of 5 in 87, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Tuma 1616 vs Pycha 1649

Pycha

Wrong

both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Tuma 80% vs Pycha 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Tuma 80% vs Pycha 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Tuma +1 · Pycha +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pycha) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pycha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTuma 2.10 / Pycha 1.67

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Pycha)+0.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13029378

Tuma2.10

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog44% won 162 of 367

Down 0–1, comes back26% 50 of 196

Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 106

Pycha1.67

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite63% won 74 of 118

Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47

Up 1–0, closes it77% 56 of 73

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeTuma1wins

AwayPycha9wins

4 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeTuma25%1 of 4

AwayPycha100%6 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Tuma4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10

S2Tuma4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10

S3Tuma2Pycha8n = 10Pycha took 8 of 10

S4Tuma0Pycha6n = 6Pycha took 6 of 6

S5Tuma1Pycha3n = 4Pycha took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricTumaPychaT − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.639.1−7.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTumaPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime766 / 1470 vs 492 / 93952.1%52.4%766 / 1470 vs 492 / 939Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pycha

Tuma 2.10/Pycha 1.67

Miss

What we said

55.8%

Pycha · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Tuma won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJul 18 · 01:00D. Tuma—10950P. Pycha—1211113

LJul 13 · 22:00D. Tuma—12118672P. Pycha—1061111113

LJul 5 · 03:30D. Tuma—551171P. Pycha—11114113

LJul 4 · 22:00D. Tuma—81111572P. Pycha—116711113

LJun 29 · 22:00D. Tuma—8750P. Pycha—1111113

LJun 20 · 24:30D. Tuma—1110591P. Pycha—71211113

WMay 23 · 22:00D. Tuma—11111110113P. Pycha—55131272

LMay 23 · 02:30D. Tuma—8450P. Pycha—1111113

LMar 29 · 24:00D. Tuma—11114492P. Pycha—371111113

LMar 10 · 22:30D. Tuma—8140P. Pycha—1111113

D. Tuma10

WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960 WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133 WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113 WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481 WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271 WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770 LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112 WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252 WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492 WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152

P. Pycha10

LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372 LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350 LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113 LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173 WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113 LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171 WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113 LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113 LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133 WAug 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.9531111113D. Tuma1.75117881

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