TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063076
Played Sep 3Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81111815131012115
Jakub Hradecky
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 104 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 63.5%
104 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 25–26 Jakub Hradecky Daniel Tuma has won 25 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hradecky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-26 in 51
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1637 vs Hradecky 1557
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 100% vs Hradecky 20%
Tuma
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 80% vs Hradecky 10%
Tuma
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +5 · Hradecky +1
Tuma
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.00 / Hradecky 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tuma)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063076
Tuma2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 171 of 374
Down 0–1, comes back27% 54 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 106
Hradecky1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 84 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma4wins
AwayHradecky6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHradecky leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma60%3 of 5
AwayHradecky80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma5Hradecky5n = 10split evenly
S2Tuma5Hradecky5n = 10split evenly
S3Tuma6Hradecky4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Tuma1Hradecky5n = 6Hradecky took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaHradeckyT − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.138.4−1.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime775 / 1482 vs 254 / 49252.3%51.6%775 / 1482 vs 254 / 492Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 2.00/Hradecky 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 17:30D. Tuma—9512131J. Hradecky—111110153
LAug 20 · 15:30D. Tuma—9911101J. Hradecky—11118123
LAug 19 · 06:00D. Tuma—7111251J. Hradecky—11614113
WAug 12 · 19:00D. Tuma—1511113J. Hradecky—13970
WJul 22 · 03:28D. Tuma—1311133J. Hradecky—114110
WJul 21 · 22:00D. Tuma—1113113J. Hradecky—71190
LJul 18 · 24:00D. Tuma—1128121J. Hradecky—91111143
WJun 28 · 12:00D. Tuma—711911123J. Hradecky—119112102
LJun 28 · 09:30D. Tuma—9870J. Hradecky—1111113
LJun 28 · 08:00D. Tuma—114115112J. Hradecky—911611133
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152WSep 1 · 19:00D. Tuma1.831113113S. Kadavy1.8391180
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133LAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931
Upcoming Matches
D. Tuma
Nothing scheduled
J. Hradecky
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