TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048055
Played Aug 31Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121121188111113
Simon Kadavy
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:15 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeSimon Kadavy to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Simon Kadavy below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 97 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Simon Kadavy at 57.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 2–14 Simon Kadavy Jakub Hradecky has won 2 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:15What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-14 in 16
Kadavy
Correct
gap of 12 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1591 vs Kadavy 1660
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 0% vs Kadavy 80%
Kadavy
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 30% vs Kadavy 90%
Kadavy
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky -5 · Kadavy -1
Hradecky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kadavy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 2.10 / Kadavy 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kadavy)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048055
Hradecky2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 26 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Kadavy1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 37 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky1wins
AwayKadavy9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky25%1 of 4
AwayKadavy100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S2Hradecky4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S3Hradecky5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S4Hradecky2Kadavy5n = 7Kadavy took 5 of 7
S5Hradecky0Kadavy5n = 5Kadavy took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckyKadavyH − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.241.1−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 486 vs 257 / 52452.1%49.1%253 / 486 vs 257 / 524Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyHradecky 2.10/Kadavy 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 17 · 23:00J. Hradecky—99100S. Kadavy—1111123
LMar 13 · 11:00J. Hradecky—58120S. Kadavy—1111143
LJan 16 · 15:30J. Hradecky—118531S. Kadavy—71111113
LSep 12 · 14:30J. Hradecky—78111182S. Kadavy—111145113
LJul 11 · 15:30J. Hradecky—41111582S. Kadavy—116511113
LJun 20 · 15:00J. Hradecky—1213121192S. Kadavy—10111413113
LMay 6 · 18:30J. Hradecky—65141182S. Kadavy—1111124113
LApr 24 · 21:00J. Hradecky—1191171S. Kadavy—71113113
WApr 24 · 18:30J. Hradecky—1111113S. Kadavy—4970
LApr 15 · 21:30J. Hradecky—71111982S. Kadavy—115711113
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931
S. Kadavy10
WSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180WSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:00S. Kadavy1.4471111113R. Krejci2.63118991WSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pikous1.251111113S. Kadavy3.759630WSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:30D. Hofman1.50111168113S. Kadavy2.5097111182WAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981
Upcoming Matches
J. Hradecky
S. Kadavy
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