TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070377
Played Sep 4Finished
Denis Hofman
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119117611811118
Simon Kadavy
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeSimon Kadavy to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDenis Hofman above · Simon Kadavy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Simon Kadavy at 54.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Denis Hofman 6–3 Simon Kadavy Simon Kadavy has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:38What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hofman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Hofman
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hofman 1583 vs Kadavy 1626
Kadavy
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hofman 20% vs Kadavy 40%
Kadavy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hofman 20% vs Kadavy 60%
Kadavy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hofman -1 · Kadavy -3
Kadavy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hofman) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hofman form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHofman 1.50 / Kadavy 2.50
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hofman)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13070377
Hofman1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 76 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it65% 47 of 72
Kadavy2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 44 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHofman6wins
AwayKadavy3wins
6 of 9 to a deciderHofman leads 6–3, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHofman75%3 of 4
AwayKadavy40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hofman4Kadavy5n = 9Kadavy took 5 of 9
S2Hofman6Kadavy3n = 9Hofman took 6 of 9
S3Hofman4Kadavy5n = 9Kadavy took 5 of 9
S4Hofman7Kadavy2n = 9Hofman took 7 of 9
S5Hofman3Kadavy3n = 6split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricHofmanKadavyH − KBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match44.843.8+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHofmanKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 938 vs 260 / 53047.9%49.1%449 / 938 vs 260 / 530Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HofmanHofman 1.50/Kadavy 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Hofman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hofman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJun 12 · 06:00D. Hofman—111186113S. Kadavy—68111172
WDec 30 · 04:30D. Hofman—14113113S. Kadavy—1281131
WDec 30 · 01:00D. Hofman—991111143S. Kadavy—111178122
LDec 8 · 22:30D. Hofman—13143972S. Kadavy—11121111113
LDec 8 · 21:00D. Hofman—81371182S. Kadavy—1111119113
WApr 20 · 20:30D. Hofman—71111113S. Kadavy—117991
LApr 19 · 21:00D. Hofman—91171162S. Kadavy—116115113
WApr 19 · 18:30D. Hofman—831111113S. Kadavy—11115952
WApr 11 · 24:30D. Hofman—11911113S. Kadavy—911991
D. Hofman10
WSep 5 · 20:59D. Hofman1.671011117113K. Schopf2.1012871192LSep 5 · 20:30R. Pacha1.6711118113D. Hofman2.10551161LSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:30K. Schopf1.913390D. Hofman1.801111113WSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192WSep 5 · 16:30M. Pikous2.0081270D. Hofman1.731114113WSep 5 · 15:30D. Hofman2.0011117113M. Sychra1.73641141LSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781WSep 4 · 17:33M. Pikous2.05111081182D. Hofman1.65412113113LSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881
S. Kadavy10
WSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180WSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:00S. Kadavy1.4471111113R. Krejci2.63118991WSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pikous1.251111113S. Kadavy3.759630WSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 1 · 20:58J. Stolfa1.73111616123S. Kadavy2.0081814101LSep 1 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.8011118113S. Kadavy1.91971171
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.