TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071788
Played Sep 4Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5117111517––––
Simon Kadavy
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeSimon Kadavy to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Simon Kadavy below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 15-17
Point 66 set 3, 15-17 — our read held Simon Kadavy at 56.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 22–28 Simon Kadavy Patrik Pycha has won 22 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-28 in 50
Kadavy
Correct
gap of 6 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1625 vs Kadavy 1628
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 40% vs Kadavy 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 50% vs Kadavy 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha +1 · Kadavy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 2.00 / Kadavy 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kadavy)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071788
Pycha2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 20 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Kadavy1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 36 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it71% 24 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha4wins
AwayKadavy6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePychan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKadavy75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha2Kadavy8n = 10Kadavy took 8 of 10
S2Pycha5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S3Pycha6Kadavy4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Pycha2Kadavy4n = 6Kadavy took 4 of 6
S5Pycha2Kadavy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaKadavyP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.6−1.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 933 vs 262 / 53452.6%49.1%491 / 933 vs 262 / 534Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyPycha 2.00/Kadavy 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha—9111111112S. Kadavy—111369133
LAug 15 · 24:30P. Pycha—812111162S. Kadavy—1110413113
WJul 18 · 03:29P. Pycha—1511109113S. Kadavy—134121182
WJul 17 · 22:00P. Pycha—91311123S. Kadavy—11118101
LJun 20 · 02:58P. Pycha—9690S. Kadavy—1111113
WJun 19 · 22:00P. Pycha—7111210113S. Kadavy—119101252
LMar 6 · 01:00P. Pycha—1061171S. Kadavy—12117113
LMar 4 · 02:00P. Pycha—9640S. Kadavy—1111113
WFeb 27 · 03:59P. Pycha—1111113S. Kadavy—5860
LFeb 27 · 24:30P. Pycha—71040S. Kadavy—1112113
P. Pycha10
LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133LAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111WAug 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.9531111113D. Tuma1.75117881
S. Kadavy10
WSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180WSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:00S. Kadavy1.4471111113R. Krejci2.63118991WSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pikous1.251111113S. Kadavy3.759630WSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:30D. Hofman1.50111168113S. Kadavy2.5097111182LSep 1 · 20:58J. Stolfa1.73111616123S. Kadavy2.0081814101WAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133
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