TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071810
Played Sep 4Finished
Daniel Kouble
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711511––––
Patrik Pycha
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:58 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Kouble above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 74.4%
56 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kouble 4–17 Patrik Pycha Daniel Kouble has won 4 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Pycha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-17 in 21
Pycha
Correct
gap of 13 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kouble 1572 vs Pycha 1628
Pycha
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kouble 40% vs Pycha 20%
Kouble
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kouble 50% vs Pycha 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kouble -2 · Pycha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Pycha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouble 3.25 / Pycha 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Pycha)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071810
Kouble3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 22 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Pycha1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it78% 56 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKouble1wins
AwayPycha9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoublen = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPycha88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kouble1Pycha9n = 10Pycha took 9 of 10
S2Kouble4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Kouble4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Kouble1Pycha6n = 7Pycha took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoublePychaK − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.138.9−7.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoublePychaBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 212 vs 492 / 94048.1%52.3%102 / 212 vs 492 / 940Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PychaKouble 3.25/Pycha 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 4 · 23:30D. Kouble—6111251P. Pycha—11714113
LJun 23 · 02:30D. Kouble—4990P. Pycha—1111113
LMay 16 · 02:59D. Kouble—11118792P. Pycha—971111113
LMay 16 · 24:30D. Kouble—68110P. Pycha—1111133
LMay 5 · 03:00D. Kouble—1111651P. Pycha—13611113
LMay 4 · 23:00D. Kouble—431191P. Pycha—11118113
LJan 2 · 10:00D. Kouble—5470P. Pycha—1111113
WJan 2 · 07:00D. Kouble—101111113P. Pycha—125961
LNov 4 · 04:00D. Kouble—981151P. Pycha—11117113
LNov 4 · 01:30D. Kouble—491181P. Pycha—11119113
D. Kouble10
LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci1.731211113D. Kouble2.0010920WSep 1 · 24:30D. Kouble1.5391112113V. Postelt2.381161081LAug 31 · 23:00D. Kouble2.0011116772D. Tuma1.73981111113WAug 31 · 22:00T. Janata1.671191071D. Kouble2.1091112113WJul 5 · 03:00D. Kouble2.10112812133O. Kysely1.677111110112WJul 5 · 01:30D. Kouble2.00111119113O. Kysely1.7385111142
P. Pycha10
LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133LAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111WAug 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.9531111113D. Tuma1.75117881
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