TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030413
Played Aug 29Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71112141181412811
Tomas Janata
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 108 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Janata at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 24–22 Tomas Janata Tomas Janata has won 22 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:20What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-22 in 46
Pycha
Wrong
gap of 2 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1613 vs Janata 1635
Janata
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 40% vs Janata 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 70% vs Janata 50%
Pycha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha -2 · Janata -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Janata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 1.91 / Janata 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Janata)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030413
Pycha1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 24 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Janata1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 110 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it78% 75 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha3wins
AwayJanata7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha50%2 of 4
AwayJanata83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S2Pycha2Janata8n = 10Janata took 8 of 10
S3Pycha6Janata4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Pycha4Janata3n = 7Pycha took 4 of 7
S5Pycha1Janata4n = 5Janata took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaJanataP − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.841.8−5.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 942 vs 427 / 81352.2%52.5%492 / 942 vs 427 / 813Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataPycha 1.91/Janata 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 14 · 02:00P. Pycha—12911113T. Janata—1011961
LJun 7 · 03:28P. Pycha—10840T. Janata—1211113
WJun 7 · 02:30P. Pycha—1171311113T. Janata—131111962
LMay 10 · 02:00P. Pycha—11711562T. Janata—511811113
LMay 4 · 22:00P. Pycha—61214642T. Janata—11101211113
LMay 2 · 02:30P. Pycha—13711722T. Janata—1111511113
LApr 12 · 24:00P. Pycha—10970T. Janata—1211113
LApr 7 · 24:00P. Pycha—5580T. Janata—1111113
WMar 8 · 01:00P. Pycha—111110113T. Janata—491261
LMar 1 · 24:00P. Pycha—68111242T. Janata—1111710113
P. Pycha10
LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133LAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111WAug 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.9531111113D. Tuma1.75117881
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171
Upcoming Matches
P. Pycha
Nothing scheduled
T. Janata
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