TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071867
Played Sep 4Finished
Daniel Kouble
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1517811119811––
Tomas Janata
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:58 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Kouble above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 90 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Janata at 58.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kouble 8–8 Tomas Janata Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:58What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kouble 1547 vs Janata 1523
Kouble
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kouble 20% vs Janata 60%
Janata
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kouble 40% vs Janata 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kouble -3 · Janata -1
Kouble
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Janata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kouble form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouble 2.20 / Janata 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Janata)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071867
Kouble2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 22 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Janata1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 112 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it76% 78 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKouble5wins
AwayJanata5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKouble66.7%2 of 3
AwayJanata57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kouble3Janata7n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S2Kouble4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Kouble4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S4Kouble5Janata3n = 8Kouble took 5 of 8
S5Kouble3Janata1n = 4Kouble took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoubleJanataK − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.840.2−0.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubleJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 214 vs 424 / 80847.7%52.5%102 / 214 vs 424 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataKouble 2.20/Janata 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble—1581181T. Janata—17119113
LSep 1 · 03:00D. Kouble—10540T. Janata—1211113
WAug 31 · 22:00D. Kouble—91112113T. Janata—1191071
WMay 31 · 16:00D. Kouble—115811113T. Janata—71111752
WMay 5 · 02:30D. Kouble—144911113T. Janata—121111632
WApr 18 · 24:00D. Kouble—891111113T. Janata—11117682
LFeb 5 · 24:00D. Kouble—911591T. Janata—11511113
LJan 28 · 17:30D. Kouble—8780T. Janata—1111113
LOct 22 · 23:30D. Kouble—111171382T. Janata—661115113
WOct 1 · 24:30D. Kouble—91112103T. Janata—1181071
D. Kouble10
LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci1.731211113D. Kouble2.0010920WSep 1 · 24:30D. Kouble1.5391112113V. Postelt2.381161081LAug 31 · 23:00D. Kouble2.0011116772D. Tuma1.73981111113WAug 31 · 22:00T. Janata1.671191071D. Kouble2.1091112113WJul 5 · 03:00D. Kouble2.10112812133O. Kysely1.677111110112WJul 5 · 01:30D. Kouble2.00111119113O. Kysely1.7385111142
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LAug 31 · 22:00T. Janata1.671191071D. Kouble2.1091112113
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