TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048064
Played Sep 1Finished
Daniel Kouble
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111161210118––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:13 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeDaniel Kouble to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Kouble above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Daniel Kouble at 62.4%
78 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kouble 8–2 Vladimir Postelt Vladimir Postelt has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:13What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kouble
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Kouble
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kouble 1574 vs Postelt 1507
Kouble
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kouble 60% vs Postelt 0%
Kouble
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kouble 60% vs Postelt 40%
Kouble
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kouble -1 · Postelt -5
Postelt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kouble)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouble 1.53 / Postelt 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kouble)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048064
Kouble1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 11 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it53% 8 of 15
Postelt2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 46 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKouble8wins
AwayPostelt2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKouble leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKouble100%5 of 5
AwayPostelt40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kouble5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S2Kouble6Postelt4n = 10Kouble took 6 of 10
S3Kouble6Postelt4n = 10Kouble took 6 of 10
S4Kouble6Postelt3n = 9Kouble took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoublePosteltK − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.937.7+4.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoublePosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 209 vs 437 / 81648.3%53.6%101 / 209 vs 437 / 816Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubleKouble 1.53/Postelt 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Kouble · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kouble won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 23 · 01:30D. Kouble—81111113V. Postelt—118771
WMay 13 · 01:30D. Kouble—121117113V. Postelt—1491581
LFeb 7 · 23:30D. Kouble—411981V. Postelt—11811113
WDec 23 · 02:30D. Kouble—91112113V. Postelt—1171091
WNov 25 · 24:30D. Kouble—11127113V. Postelt—5101161
WOct 28 · 03:30D. Kouble—1191111113V. Postelt—81181312
LJul 17 · 01:30D. Kouble—9950V. Postelt—1111113
WMay 27 · 19:00D. Kouble—13811113V. Postelt—1111491
WFeb 26 · 24:30D. Kouble—111198113V. Postelt—89111142
WJan 11 · 23:30D. Kouble—11911113V. Postelt—711991
D. Kouble10
LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci1.731211113D. Kouble2.0010920LAug 31 · 23:00D. Kouble2.0011116772D. Tuma1.73981111113WAug 31 · 22:00T. Janata1.671191071D. Kouble2.1091112113WJul 5 · 03:00D. Kouble2.10112812133O. Kysely1.677111110112WJul 5 · 01:30D. Kouble2.00111119113O. Kysely1.7385111142
V. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960
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