TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071820
Played Sep 4Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
101211712104111214
Marek Placek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Marek Placek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 103 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 64.5%
103 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:00What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1497 vs Placek 1454
Postelt
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 40% vs Placek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 20% vs Placek 40%
Placek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -1 · Placek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.44 / Placek 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Postelt)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071820
Postelt1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 120 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it85% 94 of 111
Placek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 37 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltPlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 814 vs 201 / 38653.2%52.1%433 / 814 vs 201 / 386Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.44/Placek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Placek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113
M. Placek10
LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123WSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin1.831111111032M. Placek1.83951312113LSep 4 · 15:30M. Placek2.50118100Y. Holovatiuk1.501311123WSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LAug 28 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.531011115113M. Placek2.3812921172LAug 28 · 20:00M. Placek2.1010780Y. Holovatiuk1.671211113WAug 28 · 19:30F. Briza3.7549131132M. Placek1.251111117113
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