TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13079402
Played Sep 4Finished
Milan Kolar
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115116811118––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Kolar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Kolar above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Milan Kolar at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Milan Kolar 14–21 Vladimir Postelt Milan Kolar has won 14 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:07What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-21 in 35
Postelt
Wrong
gap of 7 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1505 vs Postelt 1461
Kolar
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 100% vs Postelt 40%
Kolar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 60% vs Postelt 30%
Kolar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar +5 · Postelt +1
Kolar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 1.90 / Postelt 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Postelt)+2.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13079402
Kolar1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Postelt1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 120 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it85% 94 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolar7wins
AwayPostelt3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolar leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolar100%6 of 6
AwayPostelt75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar6Postelt4n = 10Kolar took 6 of 10
S2Kolar6Postelt4n = 10Kolar took 6 of 10
S3Kolar5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolar4Postelt4n = 8split evenly
S5Kolar3Postelt1n = 4Kolar took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolarPosteltK − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.837.5+4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime405 / 812 vs 430 / 81449.9%52.8%405 / 812 vs 430 / 814Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltKolar 1.90/Postelt 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar—11118113V. Postelt—561181
WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar—11811113V. Postelt—711291
LAug 19 · 13:30M. Kolar—411111142V. Postelt—116713113
WAug 19 · 11:30M. Kolar—1411115113V. Postelt—16941152
WAug 15 · 21:30M. Kolar—119711113V. Postelt—61111472
WAug 15 · 20:00M. Kolar—1311812113V. Postelt—117111472
WAug 14 · 22:00M. Kolar—1212123V. Postelt—1010100
WJul 20 · 07:00M. Kolar—111111113V. Postelt—461371
LMay 19 · 14:00M. Kolar—891181V. Postelt—11119113
LFeb 2 · 20:30M. Kolar—9680V. Postelt—1111103
M. Kolar10
WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431LSep 3 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0015104111J. Prokupek1.73131211133LSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113
V. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113
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