TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065115
Played Sep 3Finished
Milan Kolar
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
151310124111113––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:30 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Kolar above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 89 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 62.5%
89 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1409 vs Prokupek 1424
Prokupek
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 20% vs Prokupek 0%
Kolar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 20% vs Prokupek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar -2 · Prokupek -5
Prokupek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 2.00 / Prokupek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Prokupek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065115
Kolar2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 85 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Prokupek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 122 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it89% 71 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it72% 94 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 807 vs 634 / 133149.7%47.6%401 / 807 vs 634 / 1331Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekKolar 2.00/Prokupek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Prokupek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Kolar10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431LSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113
J. Prokupek10
LSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113WSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431
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