TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077411
Played Sep 4Finished
Dmitro Parhomenko
Home
1.54
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
101210121171210911
Milan Kolar
Away
2.18
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeDmitro Parhomenko to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmitro Parhomenko above · Milan Kolar below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 104 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Dmitro Parhomenko at 61.5%
104 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Parhomenko 29–16 Milan Kolar Milan Kolar has won 16 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Parhomenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-16 in 45
Parhomenko
Wrong
gap of 13 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parhomenko 1603 vs Kolar 1418
Parhomenko
Wrong
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parhomenko 60% vs Kolar 40%
Parhomenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parhomenko 80% vs Kolar 30%
Parhomenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parhomenko -1 · Kolar +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Parhomenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParhomenko 1.54 / Kolar 2.18
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Parhomenko)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077411
Parhomenko1.54
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 192 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it79% 132 of 168
Kolar2.18
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParhomenko8wins
AwayKolar2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderParhomenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParhomenko100%5 of 5
AwayKolar40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parhomenko5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S2Parhomenko5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S3Parhomenko6Kolar4n = 10Parhomenko took 6 of 10
S4Parhomenko5Kolar2n = 7Parhomenko took 5 of 7
S5Parhomenko3Kolar0n = 3Parhomenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricParhomenkoKolarP − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.734.5+4.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParhomenkoKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime705 / 1429 vs 401 / 80849.3%49.6%705 / 1429 vs 401 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParhomenkoParhomenko 1.54/Kolar 2.18
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.8%
Parhomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko—111011113M. Kolar—412851
WAug 4 · 15:30D. Parhomenko—1281111113M. Kolar—14117962
WJul 28 · 12:58D. Parhomenko—111188113M. Kolar—47111162
WJul 28 · 12:00D. Parhomenko—1014114113M. Kolar—121281162
WJul 26 · 18:00D. Parhomenko—11511113M. Kolar—411561
LJul 23 · 21:28D. Parhomenko—7450M. Kolar—1111113
WJul 23 · 19:00D. Parhomenko—11119113M. Kolar—891141
WJul 18 · 13:30D. Parhomenko—1311113M. Kolar—11970
LJul 18 · 11:30D. Parhomenko—81030M. Kolar—1112113
WJul 14 · 06:00D. Parhomenko—71111113M. Kolar—115941
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143WSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113
M. Kolar10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431LSep 3 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0015104111J. Prokupek1.73131211133LSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113
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