TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070860
Played Sep 4Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Dmitro Parhomenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDmitro Parhomenko to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Dmitro Parhomenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Dmitro Parhomenko at 59.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 24–23 Dmitro Parhomenko Dmitro Parhomenko has won 23 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Parhomenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-23 in 47
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1438 vs Parhomenko 1593
Parhomenko
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 40% vs Parhomenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 40% vs Parhomenko 60%
Parhomenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -1 · Parhomenko -3
Parhomenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Parhomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parhomenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 2.00 / Parhomenko 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Parhomenko)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070860
Prokupek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 100 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 73
Parhomenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 192 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it79% 132 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek3wins
AwayParhomenko7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderParhomenko leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek60%3 of 5
AwayParhomenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek5Parhomenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Prokupek4Parhomenko6n = 10Parhomenko took 6 of 10
S3Prokupek4Parhomenko6n = 10Parhomenko took 6 of 10
S4Prokupek6Parhomenko3n = 9Prokupek took 6 of 9
S5Prokupek1Parhomenko5n = 6Parhomenko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekParhomenkoProkupek − ParhomenkoBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.443.4−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekParhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime637 / 1338 vs 705 / 143147.6%49.3%637 / 1338 vs 705 / 1431Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParhomenkoProkupek 2.00/Parhomenko 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Parhomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 09:04J. Prokupek—117111162D. Parhomenko—131186113
LSep 2 · 07:00J. Prokupek—811118122D. Parhomenko—114511143
LJul 16 · 22:00J. Prokupek—7111271D. Parhomenko—111310113
WJul 16 · 08:30J. Prokupek—11118113D. Parhomenko—971151
LJul 14 · 22:00J. Prokupek—119511142D. Parhomenko—611118163
LJul 12 · 23:30J. Prokupek—131141452D. Parhomenko—11131112113
LJul 10 · 13:30J. Prokupek—7560D. Parhomenko—1111113
LJul 10 · 12:30J. Prokupek—117118102D. Parhomenko—1115411123
WJul 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek—113411123D. Parhomenko—711116102
WJun 20 · 08:30J. Prokupek—11114113D. Parhomenko—171131
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143WSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113
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