TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070700
Played Sep 4Finished
Dmitro Parhomenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
71171144––––
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitro Parhomenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmitro Parhomenko above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-4
Point 44 set 3, 4-4 — our read held Dmitro Parhomenko at 54.0%
44 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Parhomenko 41–49 Jiri Plachy Dmitro Parhomenko has won 41 of their 90 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-49 in 90
Plachy
Correct
gap of 8 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parhomenko 1603 vs Plachy 1458
Parhomenko
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parhomenko 80% vs Plachy 0%
Parhomenko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parhomenko 80% vs Plachy 40%
Parhomenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parhomenko +1 · Plachy -5
Plachy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParhomenko 2.10 / Plachy 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Parhomenko)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070700
Parhomenko2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 154 of 364
Down 0–1, comes back24% 47 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 104
Plachy1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it97% 68 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParhomenko5wins
AwayPlachy5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParhomenko100%3 of 3
AwayPlachy71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parhomenko3Plachy7n = 10Plachy took 7 of 10
S2Parhomenko5Plachy5n = 10split evenly
S3Parhomenko8Plachy2n = 10Parhomenko took 8 of 10
S4Parhomenko3Plachy6n = 9Plachy took 6 of 9
S5Parhomenko2Plachy1n = 3Parhomenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricParhomenkoPlachyParhomenko − PlachyBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.540.7−0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParhomenkoPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime704 / 1427 vs 741 / 160649.3%46.1%704 / 1427 vs 741 / 1606Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyParhomenko 2.10/Plachy 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 24 · 10:30D. Parhomenko—1011911113J. Plachy—12511752
LJul 24 · 07:00D. Parhomenko—71111982J. Plachy—116911113
LJul 23 · 24:30D. Parhomenko—631131J. Plachy—11119113
LJul 22 · 07:30D. Parhomenko—131211131J. Plachy—15148153
WJul 21 · 11:00D. Parhomenko—1111144113J. Plachy—75161192
LJul 20 · 03:06D. Parhomenko—391181J. Plachy—11116113
WJul 19 · 22:30D. Parhomenko—51114113J. Plachy—1161281
WJul 17 · 01:00D. Parhomenko—1111113J. Plachy—5990
LJul 15 · 02:30D. Parhomenko—8101181J. Plachy—11129113
WJul 13 · 03:30D. Parhomenko—11911113J. Plachy—911781
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143WSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113
J. Plachy10
WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113
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