TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077701
Played Sep 6Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117115––––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 56.2%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 115–97 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 97 of their 212 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:08What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
115-97 in 212
Plachy
Correct
gap of 18 in 212, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1408 vs Prokupek 1505
Prokupek
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 40% vs Prokupek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 40% vs Prokupek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -1 · Prokupek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.80 / Prokupek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plachy)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077701
Plachy1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it97% 68 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 120
Prokupek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 101 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy6wins
AwayProkupek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy100%6 of 6
AwayProkupek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy6Prokupek4n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S2Plachy8Prokupek2n = 10Plachy took 8 of 10
S3Plachy3Prokupek7n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S4Plachy5Prokupek3n = 8Plachy took 5 of 8
S5Plachy2Prokupek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyProkupekPlachy − ProkupekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.536.2+5.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime743 / 1606 vs 640 / 134446.3%47.6%743 / 1606 vs 640 / 1344Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.80/Prokupek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 02:00J. Plachy—61191192J. Prokupek—118118113
WSep 3 · 11:30J. Plachy—1111113J. Prokupek—4750
WSep 2 · 06:30J. Plachy—11111010113J. Prokupek—85121252
LAug 27 · 13:30J. Plachy—712971J. Prokupek—111011113
WAug 27 · 12:00J. Plachy—1171211113J. Prokupek—61114792
WAug 26 · 02:00J. Plachy—11119113J. Prokupek—361141
LAug 23 · 23:00J. Plachy—1161181J. Prokupek—13114113
LAug 20 · 22:30J. Plachy—61191172J. Prokupek—116119113
WAug 19 · 12:59J. Plachy—1111113J. Prokupek—9880
WAug 19 · 11:00J. Plachy—11118113J. Prokupek—541191
J. Plachy10
WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113WSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113
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