TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082662
Played Sep 6Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611113611811––
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 67 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 33–36 Jiri Dedek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 33 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-36 in 69
Dedek
Correct
gap of 3 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1473 vs Dedek 1563
Dedek
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 40% vs Dedek 80%
Dedek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 40% vs Dedek 60%
Dedek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +1 · Dedek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.91 / Dedek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dedek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082662
Prokupek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 100 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 76
Dedek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 150 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it98% 89 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it79% 112 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek4wins
AwayDedek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek60%3 of 5
AwayDedek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S2Prokupek4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S3Prokupek5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S4Prokupek3Dedek5n = 8Dedek took 5 of 8
S5Prokupek1Dedek2n = 3Dedek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekDedekP − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.138.3−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime641 / 1348 vs 477 / 92147.6%51.8%641 / 1348 vs 477 / 921Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekProkupek 1.91/Dedek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek—611681J. Dedek—11311113
WSep 4 · 03:00J. Prokupek—11411113J. Dedek—711971
LSep 3 · 23:00J. Prokupek—11114462J. Dedek—871111113
WAug 27 · 11:30J. Prokupek—111011113J. Dedek—512751
WAug 24 · 18:00J. Prokupek—11114123J. Dedek—5511101
LAug 24 · 02:00J. Prokupek—8320J. Dedek—1111113
WAug 21 · 18:30J. Prokupek—411118113J. Dedek—11581182
LAug 21 · 02:00J. Prokupek—6101361J. Dedek—111211113
LAug 16 · 22:00J. Prokupek—51140J. Dedek—1113113
LJul 13 · 03:00J. Prokupek—11811582J. Dedek—711911113
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113WSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113
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