TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077702
Played Sep 6Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311116114116––
Pavel Fojt
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 63 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 57.2%
63 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 48–10 Pavel Fojt Pavel Fojt has won 10 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:08What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-10 in 58
Prokupek
Correct
gap of 38 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1492 vs Fojt 1532
Fojt
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 40% vs Fojt 80%
Fojt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 40% vs Fojt 70%
Fojt
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -2 · Fojt +3
Fojt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.50 / Fojt 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Prokupek)+0.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077702
Prokupek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 121 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it89% 69 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it73% 92 of 126
Fojt2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 67 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek7wins
AwayFojt3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderProkupek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek100%6 of 6
AwayFojt75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek6Fojt4n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S2Prokupek7Fojt3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S3Prokupek5Fojt5n = 10split evenly
S4Prokupek3Fojt4n = 7Fojt took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekFojtP − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.833.7+4.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime640 / 1344 vs 354 / 72447.6%48.9%640 / 1344 vs 354 / 724Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekProkupek 1.50/Fojt 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 03:00J. Prokupek—1112113P. Fojt—51080
WAug 21 · 01:00J. Prokupek—11119123P. Fojt—6411101
LAug 17 · 24:30J. Prokupek—7370P. Fojt—1111113
LJul 15 · 02:00J. Prokupek—8101151P. Fojt—11125113
WJul 12 · 22:30J. Prokupek—91111113P. Fojt—116361
WJul 9 · 24:30J. Prokupek—1111143P. Fojt—35120
WJul 8 · 03:00J. Prokupek—11117113P. Fojt—651131
WJul 8 · 01:30J. Prokupek—1311514113P. Fojt—117111692
LJun 17 · 23:30J. Prokupek—611791P. Fojt—11611113
WMay 28 · 02:30J. Prokupek—124117113P. Fojt—101181172
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932WSep 2 · 23:00K. Darin2.636690P. Fojt1.441111113LAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080
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