TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13080680
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711511119115611
Pavel Fojt
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:38 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 87 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 60.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 4–15 Pavel Fojt Yurii Holovatiuk has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Fojt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-15 in 19
Fojt
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1585 vs Fojt 1547
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Fojt 80%
Fojt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 80% vs Fojt 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +2 · Fojt +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Fojt) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 3.25 / Fojt 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Fojt)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13080680
Holovatiuk3.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 55 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Fojt1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 88 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 60 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk3wins
AwayFojt7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFojt leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayFojt85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk3Fojt7n = 10Fojt took 7 of 10
S2Holovatiuk3Fojt7n = 10Fojt took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk2Fojt8n = 10Fojt took 8 of 10
S4Holovatiuk4Fojt1n = 5Holovatiuk took 4 of 5
S5Holovatiuk2Fojt2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukFojtH − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.738.6−5.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 666 vs 354 / 72350%49%333 / 666 vs 354 / 723Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtHolovatiuk 3.25/Fojt 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Fojt · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk—75111162P. Fojt—111195113
LAug 31 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk—711121162P. Fojt—118148113
LJun 2 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk—51050P. Fojt—1112113
LApr 22 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk—123731P. Fojt—101111113
LMar 21 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk—68100P. Fojt—1111123
LFeb 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk—10840P. Fojt—1211113
WFeb 11 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk—411911113P. Fojt—11611972
LFeb 11 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk—7570P. Fojt—1111113
WFeb 9 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk—1171111113P. Fojt—31113492
WFeb 9 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk—1111113P. Fojt—9790
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932WSep 2 · 23:00K. Darin2.636690P. Fojt1.441111113LAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080
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