TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13084587
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111191012114117
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 36–36 Kyryl Darin Dead even across their 72 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-36 in 72
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1575 vs Darin 1382
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Darin 40%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 70% vs Darin 50%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk -1 · Darin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.73 / Darin 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13084587
Holovatiuk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 89 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 60 of 73
Darin2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 200 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 271
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk5wins
AwayDarin5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk75%3 of 4
AwayDarin66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Holovatiuk3Darin7n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk7Darin3n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S4Holovatiuk3Darin4n = 7Darin took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukDarinH − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.337.0−3.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 663 vs 749 / 154449.9%48.5%331 / 663 vs 749 / 1544Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.73/Darin 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk—81111173K. Darin—1175151
LAug 31 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk—561121K. Darin—11116113
LAug 28 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk—6550K. Darin—1111113
WAug 26 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk—1111143K. Darin—89120
LAug 24 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk—11490K. Darin—1311113
LAug 24 · 03:00Y. Holovatiuk—891141K. Darin—11118113
LAug 23 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk—114961K. Darin—91111113
WAug 22 · 13:00Y. Holovatiuk—11111113K. Darin—711791
WAug 22 · 10:30Y. Holovatiuk—611129113K. Darin—119101152
WAug 21 · 13:30Y. Holovatiuk—11811113K. Darin—611791
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113LSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690
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