TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077710
Played Sep 5Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
31116181012––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 16-18
Set 3 · 10-10
Point 68 set 3, 10-10 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 54.5%
68 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Kyryl Darin 36–36 Yurii Holovatiuk Dead even across their 72 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:09What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-36 in 72
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1393 vs Holovatiuk 1575
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 60% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 50% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +1 · Holovatiuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.91 / Holovatiuk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077710
Darin1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 200 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 271
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 169
Holovatiuk1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 89 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 60 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin5wins
AwayHolovatiuk5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin66.7%4 of 6
AwayHolovatiuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin6Holovatiuk4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Darin7Holovatiuk3n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S3Darin3Holovatiuk7n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S4Darin4Holovatiuk3n = 7Darin took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinHolovatiukD − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.033.3+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime749 / 1543 vs 331 / 66348.5%49.9%749 / 1543 vs 331 / 663Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukDarin 1.91/Holovatiuk 1.80
Hit
What we said
54.3%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 14:00K. Darin—1175151Y. Holovatiuk—81111173
WAug 31 · 23:00K. Darin—11116113Y. Holovatiuk—561121
WAug 28 · 14:00K. Darin—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—6550
LAug 26 · 19:00K. Darin—89120Y. Holovatiuk—1111143
WAug 24 · 20:00K. Darin—1311113Y. Holovatiuk—11490
WAug 24 · 03:00K. Darin—11118113Y. Holovatiuk—891141
WAug 23 · 23:30K. Darin—91111113Y. Holovatiuk—114961
LAug 22 · 13:00K. Darin—711791Y. Holovatiuk—11111113
LAug 22 · 10:30K. Darin—119101152Y. Holovatiuk—611129113
LAug 21 · 13:30K. Darin—611791Y. Holovatiuk—11811113
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113LSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180
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