TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077711
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukas Krok
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412114116––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Krok above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 57.8%
58 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krok 31–24 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 24 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-24 in 55
Krok
Correct
gap of 7 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krok 1472 vs Holovatiuk 1575
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krok 40% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krok 40% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krok +1 · Holovatiuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krok) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrok 1.61 / Holovatiuk 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krok)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13077711
Krok1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 18 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Holovatiuk2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 55 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrok10wins
AwayHolovatiuk0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrok leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrok100%8 of 8
AwayHolovatiukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krok8Holovatiuk2n = 10Krok took 8 of 10
S2Krok7Holovatiuk3n = 10Krok took 7 of 10
S3Krok7Holovatiuk3n = 10Krok took 7 of 10
S4Krok5Holovatiuk2n = 7Krok took 5 of 7
S5Krok3Holovatiuk0n = 3Krok took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokHolovatiukK − HBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.535.4+7.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 370 vs 331 / 66346.2%49.9%171 / 370 vs 331 / 663Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokKrok 1.61/Holovatiuk 2.20
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Krok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok—1411113Y. Holovatiuk—12460
WMay 27 · 19:30L. Krok—911129113Y. Holovatiuk—118101182
WMay 25 · 20:30L. Krok—11116113Y. Holovatiuk—881161
WMay 17 · 19:30L. Krok—651111113Y. Holovatiuk—11116672
WMay 14 · 18:30L. Krok—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—7990
WApr 22 · 19:00L. Krok—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—7880
WApr 13 · 21:14L. Krok—111110143Y. Holovatiuk—9612121
WApr 13 · 20:30L. Krok—1191113113Y. Holovatiuk—61171592
WMar 31 · 20:30L. Krok—121111113Y. Holovatiuk—1071341
WMar 30 · 21:30L. Krok—11514123Y. Holovatiuk—81112101
L. Krok10
WSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113LSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113WAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:00L. Krok2.25116741T. Kolenic1.5781111113LAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:00L. Krok2.00133991F. Briza1.73111111113LAug 21 · 21:28L. Krok1.831210581J. Prokupek1.83101211113WAug 21 · 20:30L. Krok2.631211113J. Prokupek1.4410970LAug 21 · 19:00L. Krok2.6310380J. Dedek1.441211113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180
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