TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13080678
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131181412111––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 81 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 9–11 Jaroslav Prokupek Yurii Holovatiuk has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prokupek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Prokupek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1590 vs Prokupek 1483
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Prokupek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 80% vs Prokupek 50%
Holovatiuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +1 · Prokupek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 2.10 / Prokupek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Prokupek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13080678
Holovatiuk2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 55 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Prokupek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 121 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it89% 69 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it73% 92 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk3wins
AwayProkupek7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderProkupek leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayProkupek77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk1Prokupek9n = 10Prokupek took 9 of 10
S2Holovatiuk2Prokupek8n = 10Prokupek took 8 of 10
S3Holovatiuk4Prokupek6n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk5Prokupek1n = 6Holovatiuk took 5 of 6
S5Holovatiuk3Prokupek3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukProkupekH − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.443.4−8.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 665 vs 639 / 134250.1%47.6%333 / 665 vs 639 / 1342Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekHolovatiuk 2.10/Prokupek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 22 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk—510111162J. Prokupek—111298113
WMar 22 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk—811612123J. Prokupek—1131110102
LMar 18 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk—51070J. Prokupek—1112113
LMar 15 · 13:30Y. Holovatiuk—99111532J. Prokupek—1111913113
WMar 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk—511611123J. Prokupek—119118102
LFeb 7 · 12:00Y. Holovatiuk—123100J. Prokupek—1411123
LJan 5 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk—5660J. Prokupek—1111113
LDec 27 · 22:30Y. Holovatiuk—73111192J. Prokupek—111198113
WDec 27 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk—117117113J. Prokupek—71191192
LDec 25 · 16:30Y. Holovatiuk—6840J. Prokupek—1111113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113WSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113
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