TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13080679
Played Sep 6Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214611611––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:38 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 60 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 56.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 13–9 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Plachy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-9 in 22
Plachy
Wrong
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1408 vs Holovatiuk 1588
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 180 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 40% vs Holovatiuk 60%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 40% vs Holovatiuk 70%
Holovatiuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy +1 · Holovatiuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.73 / Holovatiuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plachy)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13080679
Plachy1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it97% 68 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 120
Holovatiuk2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 55 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy5wins
AwayHolovatiuk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy75%3 of 4
AwayHolovatiuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S2Plachy6Holovatiuk4n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S3Plachy5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Plachy4Holovatiuk3n = 7Plachy took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyHolovatiukP − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.634.6+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime743 / 1606 vs 334 / 66746.3%50.1%743 / 1606 vs 334 / 667Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.73/Holovatiuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 10:30J. Plachy—111111113Y. Holovatiuk—136761
WAug 4 · 06:30J. Plachy—12117113Y. Holovatiuk—1051161
WJul 22 · 15:00J. Plachy—1151114113Y. Holovatiuk—131141212
LApr 22 · 21:00J. Plachy—8111081Y. Holovatiuk—11612113
WApr 22 · 18:00J. Plachy—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—3660
LMar 19 · 20:30J. Plachy—7711111Y. Holovatiuk—11118133
LMar 15 · 13:59J. Plachy—5430Y. Holovatiuk—1111113
LMar 15 · 11:30J. Plachy—81161152Y. Holovatiuk—114115113
LJan 8 · 22:00J. Plachy—1151561Y. Holovatiuk—81117113
WJan 8 · 21:30J. Plachy—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—8760
J. Plachy10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113WSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180
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