TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071812
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161311118––––
Jan Steffan
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 60 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jan Steffan at 64.1%
60 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 14–35 Jan Steffan Yurii Holovatiuk has won 14 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:48What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Steffan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-35 in 49
Steffan
Wrong
gap of 21 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1602 vs Steffan 1443
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 80% vs Steffan 40%
Holovatiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 90% vs Steffan 50%
Holovatiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +4 · Steffan -1
Holovatiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Steffan) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 2.25 / Steffan 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Steffan)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13071812
Holovatiuk2.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 54 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Steffan1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 135 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it81% 107 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk2wins
AwaySteffan8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk66.7%2 of 3
AwaySteffan100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk3Steffan7n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S2Holovatiuk2Steffan8n = 10Steffan took 8 of 10
S3Holovatiuk4Steffan6n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk3Steffan4n = 7Steffan took 4 of 7
S5Holovatiuk1Steffan2n = 3Steffan took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukSteffanH − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.839.0−4.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 658 vs 464 / 96449.9%48.1%328 / 658 vs 464 / 964Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanHolovatiuk 2.25/Steffan 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 01:30Y. Holovatiuk—106110J. Steffan—1211133
LAug 27 · 01:30Y. Holovatiuk—1010111192J. Steffan—121246113
LAug 23 · 03:30Y. Holovatiuk—411931J. Steffan—11811113
LAug 23 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk—4101171J. Steffan—11128113
LAug 22 · 12:30Y. Holovatiuk—5660J. Steffan—1111113
WAug 21 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk—11129113J. Steffan—6101181
LAug 17 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk—891161J. Steffan—11118113
LAug 12 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk—8870J. Steffan—1111113
LAug 12 · 13:30Y. Holovatiuk—11611892J. Steffan—211811113
WAug 12 · 11:00Y. Holovatiuk—1111511113J. Steffan—41311672
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
J. Steffan10
LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 01:00K. Darin1.671112113J. Steffan2.1081040WSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113LSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780
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