TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070683
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114119511611311
Radek Bartunek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:58 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 82 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Jan Steffan at 54.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 31–30 Radek Bartunek Radek Bartunek has won 30 of their 61 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:58What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Steffan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-30 in 61
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1459 vs Bartunek 1495
Bartunek
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 40% vs Bartunek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 50% vs Bartunek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan +1 · Bartunek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Steffan) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.80 / Bartunek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Steffan)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070683
Steffan1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 135 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it81% 107 of 132
Bartunek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 53 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan5wins
AwayBartunek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan100%3 of 3
AwayBartunek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan3Bartunek7n = 10Bartunek took 7 of 10
S2Steffan5Bartunek5n = 10split evenly
S3Steffan6Bartunek4n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S4Steffan2Bartunek4n = 6Bartunek took 4 of 6
S5Steffan3Bartunek1n = 4Steffan took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanBartunekS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.338.3−2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 961 vs 347 / 66548.2%52.2%463 / 961 vs 347 / 665Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanSteffan 1.80/Bartunek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 22:00J. Steffan—7101171R. Bartunek—11128113
WAug 6 · 23:00J. Steffan—311114143R. Bartunek—118711122
LAug 6 · 01:00J. Steffan—88111142R. Bartunek—111194113
WAug 4 · 17:00J. Steffan—1211113R. Bartunek—10890
WAug 4 · 14:30J. Steffan—111184113R. Bartunek—59111132
WAug 4 · 11:30J. Steffan—1112113R. Bartunek—91020
LAug 2 · 02:30J. Steffan—11670R. Bartunek—1311113
LJul 21 · 01:00J. Steffan—6101171R. Bartunek—11129113
LJul 8 · 10:30J. Steffan—6980R. Bartunek—1111113
WJul 7 · 19:30J. Steffan—5111012113R. Bartunek—119121062
J. Steffan10
LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180LSep 5 · 01:00K. Darin1.671112113J. Steffan2.1081040WSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101WSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113LSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113WSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113
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