TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071645
Played Sep 5Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11134111113––––
David Horak
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Horak to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · David Horak below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 63 set 3, 11-13 — our read held David Horak at 66.7%
63 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 6–8 David Horak Radek Bartunek has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:07What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Horak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Horak
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1495 vs Horak 1438
Bartunek
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 40% vs Horak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 50% vs Horak 30%
Bartunek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek -1 · Horak -3
Horak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Horak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 2.75 / Horak 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Horak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071645
Bartunek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 53 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Horak1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 135 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it95% 75 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it80% 102 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek4wins
AwayHorak6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHorak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek60%3 of 5
AwayHorak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek5Horak5n = 10split evenly
S2Bartunek3Horak7n = 10Horak took 7 of 10
S3Bartunek4Horak6n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S4Bartunek3Horak2n = 5Bartunek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekHorakB − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.834.8−1.0per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 667 vs 276 / 51652.2%53.5%348 / 667 vs 276 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakBartunek 2.75/Horak 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Horak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 03:30R. Bartunek—8690D. Horak—1111113
WAug 28 · 23:00R. Bartunek—1111123D. Horak—98100
LJul 10 · 23:00R. Bartunek—7590D. Horak—1111113
LJul 5 · 21:30R. Bartunek—7880D. Horak—1111113
LJul 5 · 18:00R. Bartunek—11911682D. Horak—611511113
LJun 19 · 22:00R. Bartunek—11810131D. Horak—91112153
WMar 27 · 22:28R. Bartunek—111011153D. Horak—4122131
WMar 27 · 20:30R. Bartunek—13119113D. Horak—1141181
WMar 8 · 01:00R. Bartunek—41111113D. Horak—117861
LDec 27 · 17:00R. Bartunek—10390D. Horak—1211113
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113WSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113
D. Horak10
LSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 01:30D. Horak2.50116971Y. Holovatiuk1.5071111113LSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:30D. Horak1.801011691K. Darin1.9112811113LSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.571111113D. Horak2.259470WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk1.6751181182D. Horak2.10113118113WSep 4 · 15:00K. Darin1.917911101D. Horak1.8011118123LSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LSep 2 · 17:06D. Horak2.40101040M. Kolar1.511212113LSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372
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