TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059246
Played Sep 2Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113118511811––
Milan Fisera
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMilan Fisera to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Milan Fisera below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Milan Fisera at 62.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 8–9 Milan Fisera Radek Bartunek has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fisera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1508 vs Fisera 1523
Fisera
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 60% vs Fisera 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 60% vs Fisera 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek -1 · Fisera +3
Fisera
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Fisera) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 2.63 / Fisera 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Fisera)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059246
Bartunek2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 54 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Fisera1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 46 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek4wins
AwayFisera6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderFisera leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFisera62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek2Fisera8n = 10Fisera took 8 of 10
S2Bartunek2Fisera8n = 10Fisera took 8 of 10
S3Bartunek6Fisera4n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S4Bartunek3Fisera4n = 7Fisera took 4 of 7
S5Bartunek4Fisera2n = 6Bartunek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekFiseraB − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.340.8−4.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekFiseraBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 662 vs 165 / 34952.3%47.3%346 / 662 vs 165 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiseraBartunek 2.63/Fisera 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Fisera · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fisera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 21:00R. Bartunek—9560M. Fisera—1111113
LAug 10 · 18:30R. Bartunek—8370M. Fisera—1111113
LJun 4 · 21:28R. Bartunek—5740M. Fisera—1111113
WJun 4 · 20:00R. Bartunek—119113113M. Fisera—91131192
LMay 30 · 21:30R. Bartunek—117119102M. Fisera—811611123
WMay 30 · 18:30R. Bartunek—671111113M. Fisera—11113692
WMay 23 · 03:30R. Bartunek—941111113M. Fisera—11116772
LMay 23 · 02:30R. Bartunek—79111172M. Fisera—111177113
WMay 6 · 17:06R. Bartunek—8111111113M. Fisera—11981392
LMay 6 · 14:00R. Bartunek—511831M. Fisera—11611113
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113WSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113
M. Fisera10
WSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 19:00V. Dolezal2.63311971M. Fisera1.4411711113WSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WAug 10 · 21:00M. Fisera1.471111113R. Bartunek2.509560LAug 10 · 20:00J. Didi2.201110118113M. Fisera1.6151271182LAug 10 · 19:00M. Stefek3.25111658113M. Fisera1.33414111162WAug 10 · 18:30M. Fisera1.731111113R. Bartunek2.008370LAug 8 · 21:30T. Regner1.52111111113M. Fisera2.35135251WAug 8 · 20:00M. Stefek3.001110861M. Fisera1.3691211113WAug 8 · 19:00J. Didi2.10119461M. Fisera1.6761111113
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