TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12399077
Played Aug 10Finished
Milan Fisera
Home
1.47
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115116––––
Radek Bartunek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMilan Fisera above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Milan Fisera 8–8 Radek Bartunek Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:13What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Fisera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fisera 1474 vs Bartunek 1419
Fisera
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fisera 40% vs Bartunek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fisera 30% vs Bartunek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fisera -2 · Bartunek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Fisera) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fisera form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFisera 1.47 / Bartunek 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Fisera)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12399077
Fisera1.47
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 44 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 30 of 42
Bartunek2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 56 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFisera5wins
AwayBartunek5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFisera57.1%4 of 7
AwayBartunek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fisera7Bartunek3n = 10Fisera took 7 of 10
S2Fisera8Bartunek2n = 10Fisera took 8 of 10
S3Fisera3Bartunek7n = 10Bartunek took 7 of 10
S4Fisera5Bartunek3n = 8Fisera took 5 of 8
S5Fisera2Bartunek5n = 7Bartunek took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiseraBartunekF − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.239.1+3.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiseraBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 370 vs 329 / 64246.2%51.3%171 / 370 vs 329 / 642Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiseraFisera 1.47/Bartunek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Fisera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fisera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 18:30M. Fisera—1111113R. Bartunek—8370
WJun 4 · 21:28M. Fisera—1111113R. Bartunek—5740
LJun 4 · 20:00M. Fisera—91131192R. Bartunek—119113113
WMay 30 · 21:30M. Fisera—811611123R. Bartunek—117119102
LMay 30 · 18:30M. Fisera—11113692R. Bartunek—671111113
LMay 23 · 03:30M. Fisera—11116772R. Bartunek—941111113
WMay 23 · 02:30M. Fisera—111177113R. Bartunek—79111172
LMay 6 · 17:06M. Fisera—11981392R. Bartunek—8111111113
WMay 6 · 14:00M. Fisera—11611113R. Bartunek—511831
LApr 27 · 21:30M. Fisera—911411122R. Bartunek—115117143
M. Fisera10
WSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113WSep 2 · 19:00V. Dolezal2.63311971M. Fisera1.4411711113WSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112LAug 10 · 20:00J. Didi2.201110118113M. Fisera1.6151271182LAug 10 · 19:00M. Stefek3.25111658113M. Fisera1.33414111162WAug 10 · 18:30M. Fisera1.731111113R. Bartunek2.008370LAug 8 · 21:30T. Regner1.52111111113M. Fisera2.35135251WAug 8 · 20:00M. Stefek3.001110861M. Fisera1.3691211113WAug 8 · 19:00J. Didi2.10119461M. Fisera1.6761111113
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LAug 10 · 18:30M. Fisera1.731111113R. Bartunek2.008370
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