TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12390920
Played Aug 10Finished
Julius Didi
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151012117811118
Milan Fisera
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:10 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Milan Fisera below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Julius Didi at 64.1%
94 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 0–1 Milan Fisera Julius Didi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Fisera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Didi 1513 vs Fisera 1484
Didi
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 100% vs Fisera 60%
Didi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 80% vs Fisera 40%
Didi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi +5 · Fisera -1
Didi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fisera) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 2.20 / Fisera 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fisera)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12390920
Didi2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog43% won 95 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Fisera1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 44 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 30 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDidi0wins
AwayFisera1wins
Fisera leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDidiFiseraD − FBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match30.039.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiFiseraBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 688 vs 171 / 36951.7%46.3%356 / 688 vs 171 / 369Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiseraDidi 2.20/Fisera 1.61
Miss
What we said
54%
Fisera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 8 · 19:00J. Didi—119461M. Fisera—61111113
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113WSep 2 · 23:30J. Didi2.38118119123V. Dolezal1.53411711102
M. Fisera10
WSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113WSep 2 · 19:00V. Dolezal2.63311971M. Fisera1.4411711113WSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WAug 10 · 21:00M. Fisera1.471111113R. Bartunek2.509560LAug 10 · 19:00M. Stefek3.25111658113M. Fisera1.33414111162WAug 10 · 18:30M. Fisera1.731111113R. Bartunek2.008370LAug 8 · 21:30T. Regner1.52111111113M. Fisera2.35135251WAug 8 · 20:00M. Stefek3.001110861M. Fisera1.3691211113WAug 8 · 19:00J. Didi2.10119461M. Fisera1.6761111113
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