TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13067369
Played Sep 2Finished
Milan Fisera
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911117811118
Ondrej Kucirek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMilan Fisera above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8
95 points played in total.
H2H Milan Fisera 3–1 Ondrej Kucirek Ondrej Kucirek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fisera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucirek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFisera 1.73 / Kucirek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fisera)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13067369
Fisera1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 46 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43
Kucirek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 48 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFisera3wins
AwayKucirek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderFisera leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFisera66.7%2 of 3
AwayKucirekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fisera3Kucirek1n = 4Fisera took 3 of 4
S2Fisera3Kucirek1n = 4Fisera took 3 of 4
S3Fisera2Kucirek2n = 4split evenly
S4Fisera1Kucirek2n = 3Kucirek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFiseraKucirekF − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.832.2+7.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiseraKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 350 vs 218 / 44147.4%49.4%166 / 350 vs 218 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiseraFisera 1.73/Kucirek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fisera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fisera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera—1111129113O. Kucirek—74141112
WApr 13 · 18:30M. Fisera—1111113O. Kucirek—5770
WSep 22 · 18:30M. Fisera—41111113O. Kucirek—114661
LApr 2 · 20:00M. Fisera—1465101O. Kucirek—121111123
M. Fisera10
WSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113WSep 2 · 19:00V. Dolezal2.63311971M. Fisera1.4411711113WSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WAug 10 · 21:00M. Fisera1.471111113R. Bartunek2.509560LAug 10 · 20:00J. Didi2.201110118113M. Fisera1.6151271182LAug 10 · 19:00M. Stefek3.25111658113M. Fisera1.33414111162WAug 10 · 18:30M. Fisera1.731111113R. Bartunek2.008370LAug 8 · 21:30T. Regner1.52111111113M. Fisera2.35135251WAug 8 · 20:00M. Stefek3.001110861M. Fisera1.3691211113WAug 8 · 19:00J. Didi2.10119461M. Fisera1.6761111113
O. Kucirek10
WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda1.83410100O. Kucirek1.831112123WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek1.831111113M. Stefek1.837750WSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352WSep 2 · 20:30V. Dolezal1.7311125752O. Kucirek2.006101111113WSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 02:00J. Didi1.8311511113O. Kucirek1.83611661
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